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Friday, July 20, 2012

15: Using What-If Analysis

The real power in Excel comes in its ability to perform multiple mathematical calculations for you. One of the tools in Excel that you can use to perform these calculations is a Data tool called What-If Analysis. What-If analysis allows you to see the effect that different values have in formulas. Have you ever thought, "What interest rate do I need to qualify for to have a car payment of $400 on the car I want?" This question can be answered using What-If Analysis. 

In this lesson, you will learn how to use a What-If Analysis tool called Goal Seek.



What-If Analysis



What-if Analysis: Example

You need a loan to buy a new car. You know how much money you want to borrow, how long of a period you want to take to pay off the loan (the term), and what payment you can afford to make each month. But what you need to know is what interest rate you need to qualify for to make the payment $400 a month. In the image below, you can see that if you didn’t have interest and just divided this $20,000 into 60 monthly payments, you would pay $333.33 a month. The What-If Analysis tool will allow you to easily calculate the interest rate.
Example
Where Did the Formula Come From?
The formula that appears in cell B5 in the example image is a function. It isn't part of the What-if Analysis tool, so you will need to understand functions thoroughly before you use What-if Analysis. For the example scenario described above, you need a formula that will calculate the monthly payment. Instead of writing the formula yourself, you can insert a function to do the calculation for you.
To Insert a Payment Function:
  • Select the Formula tab.
  • Click the Insert Function command. A dialog box appears.
  • Select PMT.
  • Click OK. A dialog box appears.
  • Insert your cursor in the first field. A description about the needed information appears at the bottom of the dialog box.
Payment Function Example

  • Select the cell in the spreadsheet with the needed information.
  • Insert your cursor in the next field. A description about the needed information appears at the bottom of the dialog box.
  • Select the cell in the spreadsheet with the needed information.
  • Repeat the last two steps until all the necessary information is entered in the dialog box.
  • Click OK.


What-If Analysis Tools

There are three What-If analysis tools that you can use. To access these, select the Data tab, and locate the What-If Analysis command. If you click this command, a menu with three options appears.

Goal seek is useful if you know the needed result, but need to find the input value that will give you the desired result. In this example, we know the desired result (a $400 monthly payment), and are seeking the input value (the interest rate).

Goal Seek

To Use Goal Seek to Determine an Interest Rate:
  • Select the Data tab.
  • Locate the Data Tools group.
  • Click the What-If Analysis command. A list of three options appears.
Select What-If Command

  • Select Goal Seek. A small dialog box appears.
  • Select the cell that you want to set to a specific value. In this example, we want to set B5, the Payment cell.
Goal Seek Example

  • Insert the cursor in the next field.
  • Enter a value in the value field. In this example, type -$400. Since we’re making a payment that will be subtracted from our loan amount, we have to enter the payment as a negative number.
Goal Seek Example

  • Insert the cursor in the next field.
  • Select the cell that you want to change. This will be the cell that tries various input values. In this example, select cell B4, which is the interest rate.
Goal Seek Example

  • Click OK.
  • Then, click OK again. The interest rate appears in the cell. This indicates that a 7% interest rate will give us a $400 a month payment on a $20,000 loan that is paid off over 5 years, or 60 months.
Goal Seek End of Example









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